Decoupling

  • Morten Hansen
  • 04.07.2013.
Foto: Jānis Saliņš, F64

Foto: Jānis Saliņš, F64

Latvia is no longer the third-poorest country in the EU!

It is now only fourth from the bottom but this is due to Croatia's entry into the EU a few days ago and Croatia is a tad behind Latvia so no real reason for celebration...

Rather, it might be time for a little bit of concern. The Latvian economy left recession in mid-2010 and has since grown quite briskly, see Figure 1; it even regained the position of the fastest growing economy of the European Union although that doesn't say much these days. Recent data points to a slowdown, however.

Figure 1: Latvian growth rates, quarterly data, 2010 - 2013

?Foto -?

Source: Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia

What brought Latvia out of recession was a very strong export performance and what is slowing the economy now is a seeming slowdown in exports, see Figure 2.

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